Análisis Montecarlo vs Alcorisa
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
17.6%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.12
Goles esperados
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.4%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
4.6%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
0.1%
+1
11.1%
19.2%
Empate
0-0
3.4%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.2%
63.2%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.27
Goles esperados
0-1
7.7%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.5%
0-2
8.7%
1-3
7.4%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
18.8%
0-3
6.6%
1-4
4.2%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
12%
0-4
3.7%
1-5
1.9%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
6.1%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.5%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Montecarlo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 nov. 2019 |
CDC
4 - 3
UDM
65%
19%
17%
|
15 | 17 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 oct. 2019 |
UDM
0 - 1
CAS
20%
22%
59%
|
16 | 22 | 6 | -1 |
| 20 oct. 2019 |
CEL
2 - 0
UDM
32%
25%
43%
|
17 | 14 | 3 | -1 |
| 06 oct. 2019 |
UDM
0 - 1
CDC
23%
22%
55%
|
17 | 23 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 sep. 2019 |
UDS
3 - 3
UDM
60%
21%
20%
|
17 | 19 | 2 | 0 |
Partidos
Alcorisa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 nov. 2019 |
ALC
0 - 0
AND
76%
14%
10%
|
20 | 14 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 oct. 2019 |
ACF
1 - 2
ALC
58%
20%
22%
|
19 | 23 | 4 | +1 |
| 20 oct. 2019 |
ALC
4 - 2
ALF
52%
21%
27%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 oct. 2019 |
LAA
0 - 2
ALC
55%
21%
25%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 sep. 2019 |
ALC
1 - 1
CDU
40%
23%
37%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | 0 |