Análisis Montecarlo vs Alcorisa
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
56.1%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.09
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.9%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.2%
20.9%
Empate
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.9%
23%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.28
Goles esperados
0-1
4.4%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.6%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-3%
-23%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Montecarlo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 ene. 2025 |
MAG
1 - 0
UDM
39%
24%
37%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 ene. 2025 |
UDS
3 - 2
UDM
50%
23%
27%
|
20 | 24 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 ene. 2025 |
UDM
1 - 1
CDC
22%
21%
56%
|
20 | 28 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 dic. 2024 |
SDB
1 - 2
UDM
49%
23%
28%
|
19 | 22 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 dic. 2024 |
HER
1 - 3
UDM
35%
23%
43%
|
19 | 16 | 3 | 0 |
Partidos
Alcorisa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 ene. 2025 |
ALC
0 - 0
HER
49%
23%
29%
|
17 | 16 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 ene. 2025 |
ALC
4 - 0
SPO
28%
23%
50%
|
16 | 19 | 3 | +1 |
| 12 ene. 2025 |
ATC
1 - 1
ALC
73%
16%
11%
|
15 | 24 | 9 | +1 |
| 22 dic. 2024 |
ALC
1 - 1
MAL
32%
23%
45%
|
14 | 18 | 4 | +1 |
| 15 dic. 2024 |
ICF
1 - 0
ALC
74%
17%
10%
|
15 | 27 | 12 | -1 |