Análisis Montecarlo vs Alfindén A.D
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
52.2%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.78
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.2%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.9%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
23.3%
Empate
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
24.5%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.15
Goles esperados
0-1
6.1%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-25%
+7%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Montecarlo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 ene. 2012 |
SAN
1 - 1
UDM
40%
24%
36%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 ene. 2012 |
UDM
2 - 1
CFA
34%
26%
40%
|
19 | 22 | 3 | +1 |
| 18 dic. 2011 |
TAM
5 - 0
UDM
65%
19%
16%
|
20 | 24 | 4 | -1 |
| 11 dic. 2011 |
UDM
2 - 1
ACF
44%
24%
33%
|
19 | 19 | 0 | +1 |
| 27 nov. 2011 |
UDM
1 - 3
CDA
42%
25%
33%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | -1 |
Partidos
Alfindén A.D
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 ene. 2012 |
ALF
2 - 1
STA
30%
25%
45%
|
17 | 21 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 ene. 2012 |
PEN
0 - 0
ALF
45%
25%
30%
|
17 | 17 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 dic. 2011 |
ALF
0 - 3
ZUE
43%
25%
32%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | -1 |
| 11 dic. 2011 |
UDC
0 - 2
ALF
64%
20%
16%
|
17 | 19 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 nov. 2011 |
ALF
2 - 0
UDP
76%
15%
9%
|
17 | 10 | 7 | 0 |