Análisis Montecarlo vs Almudévar
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
34.1%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.29
Goles esperados
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.8%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.2%
25.6%
Empate
0-0
6.6%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
40.3%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.43
Goles esperados
0-1
9.4%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.9%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-25%
-36%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Montecarlo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 dic. 2011 |
TAM
5 - 0
UDM
65%
19%
16%
|
20 | 24 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 dic. 2011 |
UDM
2 - 1
ACF
44%
24%
33%
|
19 | 19 | 0 | +1 |
| 27 nov. 2011 |
UDM
1 - 3
CDA
42%
25%
33%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 nov. 2011 |
STA
0 - 0
UDM
49%
23%
28%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 nov. 2011 |
UDM
0 - 0
PEN
59%
22%
20%
|
20 | 17 | 3 | 0 |
Partidos
Almudévar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 dic. 2011 |
CFA
3 - 0
STA
51%
23%
26%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 dic. 2011 |
PEN
1 - 0
CFA
29%
25%
46%
|
22 | 17 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 nov. 2011 |
CFA
1 - 1
ZUE
65%
19%
16%
|
23 | 18 | 5 | -1 |
| 20 nov. 2011 |
UDC
0 - 1
CFA
49%
23%
28%
|
22 | 20 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 nov. 2011 |
CFA
1 - 0
UDP
86%
10%
4%
|
22 | 9 | 13 | 0 |