Análisis Montecarlo vs At. Calatayud
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probability of handicap
63.5%
Win probability
2.23
Goles esperados
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
12%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
19.4%
Empate
0-0
3.7%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.4%
17.1%
Win probability
1.07
Goles esperados
0-1
4%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
11%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-8%
+10%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Montecarlo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 may. 2022 |
ASJ
0 - 3
UDM
10%
17%
73%
|
17 | 9 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 may. 2022 |
UDM
1 - 2
CFV
43%
24%
34%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 may. 2022 |
TAM
4 - 2
UDM
79%
13%
8%
|
18 | 30 | 12 | -1 |
| 08 may. 2022 |
UDM
1 - 0
SIE
29%
24%
47%
|
17 | 21 | 4 | +1 |
| 30 abr. 2022 |
SAR
2 - 1
UDM
77%
15%
9%
|
17 | 29 | 12 | 0 |
Partidos
At. Calatayud
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 may. 2022 |
DEL
3 - 0
ATC
21%
22%
57%
|
16 | 11 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 may. 2022 |
ATC
0 - 1
MOR
23%
24%
53%
|
16 | 21 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 may. 2022 |
CDM
2 - 2
ATC
28%
24%
49%
|
16 | 13 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 may. 2022 |
ATC
1 - 1
CEL
55%
23%
22%
|
17 | 14 | 3 | -1 |
| 24 abr. 2022 |
CDU
3 - 1
ATC
72%
17%
11%
|
17 | 26 | 9 | 0 |