Análisis Montecarlo vs Atlético Escalerillas D8
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
59.4%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.96
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.3%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.2%
1-0
10%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.9%
21.6%
Empate
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.6%
19.1%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.02
Goles esperados
0-1
5.2%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-5%
-46%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Montecarlo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 feb. 2025 |
CEL
1 - 0
UDM
42%
23%
34%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 feb. 2025 |
UDM
0 - 1
ACF
25%
24%
52%
|
19 | 26 | 7 | -1 |
| 09 feb. 2025 |
TER
2 - 1
UDM
48%
22%
30%
|
19 | 19 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 feb. 2025 |
UDM
0 - 1
ALC
59%
20%
21%
|
20 | 17 | 3 | -1 |
| 26 ene. 2025 |
MAG
1 - 0
UDM
40%
24%
36%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
Partidos
Atlético Escalerillas D8
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 feb. 2025 |
ATL
0 - 2
HER
43%
25%
32%
|
17 | 16 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 feb. 2025 |
SPO
2 - 1
ATL
53%
22%
25%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | -1 |
| 09 feb. 2025 |
ATL
0 - 2
ATC
19%
22%
60%
|
18 | 25 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 feb. 2025 |
MAL
2 - 0
ATL
40%
26%
34%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 ene. 2025 |
ATL
1 - 3
ICF
19%
23%
58%
|
20 | 28 | 8 | -1 |