Análisis Montecarlo vs Monzalbarba
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
33.5%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.34
Goles esperados
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.7%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.6%
24.8%
Empate
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
41.6%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.53
Goles esperados
0-1
8.7%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.4%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-9%
-21%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Montecarlo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 dic. 2009 |
UDC
2 - 0
UDM
78%
14%
8%
|
12 | 20 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 nov. 2009 |
UDM
1 - 2
ALF
22%
23%
54%
|
13 | 20 | 7 | -1 |
| 22 nov. 2009 |
ICF
3 - 0
UDM
74%
16%
10%
|
13 | 21 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 nov. 2009 |
UDM
0 - 3
PED
43%
25%
32%
|
14 | 16 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 nov. 2009 |
TER
2 - 0
UDM
65%
20%
16%
|
15 | 20 | 5 | -1 |
Partidos
Monzalbarba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 dic. 2009 |
MON
0 - 3
LAA
31%
24%
45%
|
16 | 20 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 nov. 2009 |
CAL
1 - 1
MON
67%
19%
14%
|
16 | 22 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 nov. 2009 |
MON
6 - 1
GAR
57%
22%
21%
|
15 | 12 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 nov. 2009 |
CDE
2 - 0
MON
76%
16%
9%
|
15 | 30 | 15 | 0 |
| 01 nov. 2009 |
CEL
2 - 1
MON
51%
22%
27%
|
16 | 15 | 1 | -1 |