Análisis Montecarlo vs CD Binéfar
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
35.1%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.56
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.5%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.3%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.2%
23%
Empate
0-0
3.8%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
41.8%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.72
Goles esperados
0-1
6.5%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
20%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
12.5%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-21%
+43%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Montecarlo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 abr. 2014 |
UDM
3 - 3
ADT
45%
24%
32%
|
19 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 abr. 2014 |
ROB
2 - 1
UDM
62%
21%
18%
|
19 | 23 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 mar. 2014 |
UDM
0 - 2
UDB
46%
24%
31%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | -1 |
| 23 mar. 2014 |
MAL
1 - 2
UDM
47%
24%
29%
|
19 | 20 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 mar. 2014 |
UDM
0 - 2
CDA
65%
19%
16%
|
20 | 16 | 4 | -1 |
Partidos
CD Binéfar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 abr. 2014 |
BIN
1 - 1
CFV
37%
24%
39%
|
21 | 25 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 abr. 2014 |
ADT
1 - 2
BIN
48%
22%
30%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 mar. 2014 |
BIN
3 - 0
POM
75%
16%
9%
|
20 | 13 | 7 | +1 |
| 22 mar. 2014 |
ROB
4 - 1
BIN
43%
25%
32%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | -1 |
| 16 mar. 2014 |
BIN
2 - 0
GRA
68%
18%
14%
|
21 | 16 | 5 | 0 |