Análisis Montecarlo vs Brea
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
34.6%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.51
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.3%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.1%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.2%
23.4%
Empate
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
42%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.68
Goles esperados
0-1
6.9%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.3%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
12.6%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+19%
+4%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Montecarlo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 oct. 2009 |
UNI
2 - 0
UDM
77%
15%
8%
|
24 | 52 | 28 | 0 |
| 27 sep. 2009 |
LAA
1 - 2
UDM
68%
19%
13%
|
22 | 30 | 8 | +2 |
| 20 sep. 2009 |
UDM
0 - 1
CAL
30%
25%
45%
|
22 | 28 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 sep. 2009 |
GAR
2 - 3
UDM
26%
24%
50%
|
21 | 12 | 9 | +1 |
| 06 sep. 2009 |
UDM
0 - 1
CDE
23%
24%
53%
|
21 | 33 | 12 | 0 |
Partidos
Brea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 oct. 2009 |
CFB
0 - 1
LAA
40%
24%
36%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 sep. 2009 |
CAL
1 - 1
CFB
51%
22%
27%
|
26 | 29 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 sep. 2009 |
CFB
3 - 2
GAR
82%
12%
6%
|
26 | 12 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 sep. 2009 |
CDE
0 - 0
CFB
66%
19%
15%
|
25 | 34 | 9 | +1 |
| 06 sep. 2009 |
CFB
5 - 3
SAA
36%
24%
40%
|
23 | 27 | 4 | +2 |