Análisis Montecarlo vs Cariñena Atl.
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
37%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.66
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
11%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
8%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.5%
22.6%
Empate
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
40.4%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.74
Goles esperados
0-1
5.8%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
4%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
12.1%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+22%
+7%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Montecarlo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 mar. 2025 |
MOR
2 - 1
UDM
41%
24%
35%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 mar. 2025 |
UDM
0 - 0
ATL
59%
22%
19%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 feb. 2025 |
CEL
1 - 0
UDM
42%
23%
34%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 feb. 2025 |
UDM
0 - 1
ACF
25%
24%
52%
|
19 | 26 | 7 | -1 |
| 09 feb. 2025 |
TER
2 - 1
UDM
48%
22%
30%
|
19 | 19 | 0 | 0 |
Partidos
Cariñena Atl.
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 mar. 2025 |
CAR
1 - 0
HER
41%
23%
36%
|
17 | 19 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 mar. 2025 |
SPO
2 - 3
CAR
54%
20%
26%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 feb. 2025 |
CAR
0 - 1
ATC
20%
21%
60%
|
17 | 26 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 feb. 2025 |
MAL
3 - 1
CAR
38%
24%
39%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | -1 |
| 09 feb. 2025 |
CAR
1 - 4
ICF
20%
22%
58%
|
18 | 30 | 12 | 0 |