Análisis Montecarlo vs Casetas
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
47.5%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.63
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.4%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
24.5%
Empate
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
28%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.2
Goles esperados
0-1
7.1%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+17%
+47%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Montecarlo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 oct. 2011 |
UDP
0 - 2
UDM
14%
20%
67%
|
19 | 10 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 oct. 2011 |
UDM
2 - 1
POM
51%
23%
26%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 oct. 2011 |
ALC
2 - 1
UDM
58%
21%
21%
|
19 | 22 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 sep. 2011 |
UDM
0 - 0
FRA
28%
24%
48%
|
19 | 25 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 sep. 2011 |
ATL
1 - 1
UDM
59%
21%
20%
|
19 | 22 | 3 | 0 |
Partidos
Casetas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 oct. 2011 |
UDC
2 - 2
STA
55%
22%
22%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 oct. 2011 |
PEN
2 - 1
UDC
24%
26%
51%
|
20 | 15 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 oct. 2011 |
UDC
1 - 0
ZUE
36%
24%
40%
|
20 | 23 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 sep. 2011 |
UDC
0 - 0
CDA
60%
21%
19%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 sep. 2011 |
UDP
0 - 1
UDC
14%
21%
65%
|
20 | 9 | 11 | 0 |