Análisis Montecarlo vs Actur Pablo Iglesias
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
65.4%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.27
Goles esperados
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.5%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
18.9%
Empate
0-0
3.7%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.9%
15.7%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.02
Goles esperados
0-1
3.8%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.3%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-25%
+7%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Montecarlo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 mar. 2014 |
FRA
0 - 1
UDM
63%
19%
18%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 mar. 2014 |
UDM
2 - 1
TAU
33%
24%
44%
|
19 | 23 | 4 | +1 |
| 23 feb. 2014 |
CFV
1 - 0
UDM
52%
24%
25%
|
19 | 21 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 feb. 2014 |
UDM
0 - 1
CFV
33%
24%
44%
|
20 | 24 | 4 | -1 |
| 09 feb. 2014 |
POM
1 - 1
UDM
25%
23%
51%
|
20 | 14 | 6 | 0 |
Partidos
Actur Pablo Iglesias
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 mar. 2014 |
CDA
1 - 2
ADT
27%
24%
49%
|
17 | 21 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 mar. 2014 |
ROB
2 - 1
CDA
57%
22%
21%
|
17 | 19 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 feb. 2014 |
CDA
2 - 0
UDB
22%
23%
56%
|
15 | 22 | 7 | +2 |
| 16 feb. 2014 |
MAL
0 - 0
CDA
65%
20%
16%
|
15 | 20 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 feb. 2014 |
CDA
1 - 1
BIN
21%
22%
57%
|
15 | 20 | 5 | 0 |