Análisis Montecarlo vs CD Cariñena
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
20.3%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.14
Goles esperados
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.7%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.4%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.6%
20.9%
Empate
0-0
4%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.9%
58.9%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.07
Goles esperados
0-1
8.3%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.9%
0-2
8.7%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
17.8%
0-3
6%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.5%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4.9%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+34%
+82%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Montecarlo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 dic. 2024 |
SDB
1 - 2
UDM
51%
23%
26%
|
14 | 17 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 dic. 2024 |
HER
1 - 3
UDM
34%
23%
43%
|
13 | 11 | 2 | +1 |
| 01 dic. 2024 |
UDM
3 - 1
SPO
29%
23%
48%
|
12 | 15 | 3 | +1 |
| 24 nov. 2024 |
ATC
2 - 0
UDM
76%
15%
9%
|
12 | 19 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 nov. 2024 |
UDM
1 - 0
MAL
35%
23%
42%
|
12 | 14 | 2 | 0 |
Partidos
CD Cariñena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 dic. 2024 |
CDC
1 - 0
HER
87%
9%
4%
|
21 | 10 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 dic. 2024 |
SPO
1 - 2
CDC
20%
20%
60%
|
21 | 14 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 dic. 2024 |
CDC
1 - 0
ATC
53%
21%
25%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | +1 |
| 24 nov. 2024 |
MAL
1 - 1
CDC
12%
18%
71%
|
20 | 13 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 nov. 2024 |
CDC
2 - 2
ICF
53%
22%
25%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | -1 |