Análisis Montecarlo vs CD Utrillas
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probability of handicap
29.9%
Win probability
1.33
Goles esperados
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.5%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.9%
23.6%
Empate
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
46.5%
Win probability
1.72
Goles esperados
0-1
8.1%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.7%
0-2
7%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.1%
0-3
4%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.9%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-9%
-16%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Montecarlo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 ene. 2019 |
VAL
1 - 2
UDM
31%
24%
45%
|
17 | 13 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 ene. 2019 |
FUE
1 - 1
UDM
60%
22%
18%
|
17 | 21 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 ene. 2019 |
UDM
4 - 2
CDM
31%
24%
45%
|
16 | 19 | 3 | +1 |
| 05 ene. 2019 |
HER
1 - 0
UDM
53%
22%
25%
|
17 | 16 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 dic. 2018 |
CAS
1 - 0
UDM
60%
23%
18%
|
17 | 21 | 4 | 0 |
Partidos
CD Utrillas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 ene. 2019 |
CDU
2 - 0
CAS
31%
25%
45%
|
19 | 22 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 ene. 2019 |
CDU
1 - 0
CDC
28%
24%
48%
|
19 | 22 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 ene. 2019 |
MOR
1 - 1
CDU
9%
17%
74%
|
19 | 11 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 ene. 2019 |
CDU
1 - 0
CEL
57%
23%
20%
|
19 | 17 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 dic. 2018 |
BUJ
1 - 5
CDU
18%
21%
62%
|
18 | 12 | 6 | +1 |