Análisis Montecarlo vs Garrapinillos
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
43%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.61
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.9%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.9%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.1%
24.2%
Empate
0-0
5%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
32.8%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.38
Goles esperados
0-1
6.9%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.1%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-8%
+334%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Montecarlo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 ene. 2010 |
CDE
3 - 0
UDM
77%
15%
8%
|
13 | 32 | 19 | 0 |
| 20 dic. 2009 |
OLI
3 - 2
UDM
75%
16%
10%
|
13 | 22 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 dic. 2009 |
UDM
1 - 0
MON
34%
25%
42%
|
12 | 15 | 3 | +1 |
| 06 dic. 2009 |
UDC
2 - 0
UDM
78%
14%
8%
|
12 | 20 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 nov. 2009 |
UDM
1 - 2
ALF
22%
23%
54%
|
13 | 20 | 7 | -1 |
Partidos
Garrapinillos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 ene. 2010 |
GAR
1 - 1
LAA
21%
23%
56%
|
13 | 20 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 ene. 2010 |
GAR
3 - 2
CAL
17%
22%
61%
|
11 | 20 | 9 | +2 |
| 10 ene. 2010 |
UNI
2 - 0
GAR
78%
15%
7%
|
11 | 43 | 32 | 0 |
| 20 dic. 2009 |
CDE
2 - 0
GAR
78%
15%
7%
|
12 | 31 | 19 | -1 |
| 13 dic. 2009 |
GAR
1 - 0
SAA
26%
23%
51%
|
11 | 15 | 4 | +1 |