Análisis Montecarlo vs Mallén
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
42.4%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.57
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.7%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.1%
24.5%
Empate
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
33.2%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.36
Goles esperados
0-1
7.3%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.3%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+13%
+31%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Montecarlo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 oct. 2013 |
CDA
0 - 1
UDM
31%
24%
45%
|
19 | 16 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 oct. 2013 |
UDM
0 - 1
FRA
35%
24%
41%
|
20 | 23 | 3 | -1 |
| 06 oct. 2013 |
TAU
2 - 0
UDM
55%
22%
23%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 sep. 2013 |
UDM
3 - 1
CFV
30%
25%
46%
|
19 | 25 | 6 | +1 |
| 22 sep. 2013 |
CFV
2 - 0
UDM
49%
23%
28%
|
19 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
Partidos
Mallén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 oct. 2013 |
MAL
1 - 0
ADT
44%
24%
32%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 oct. 2013 |
ROB
2 - 0
MAL
43%
25%
32%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 oct. 2013 |
MAL
0 - 0
UDB
40%
24%
36%
|
21 | 23 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 sep. 2013 |
BIN
2 - 1
MAL
26%
25%
49%
|
22 | 16 | 6 | -1 |
| 22 sep. 2013 |
CDA
0 - 0
MAL
28%
24%
48%
|
22 | 17 | 5 | 0 |