Análisis Montecarlo vs Mallén
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
46.3%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.71
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.8%
2-0
7%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.7%
23.7%
Empate
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
30.1%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.33
Goles esperados
0-1
6.4%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.6%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-9%
+42%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Montecarlo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 ene. 2018 |
UDM
1 - 2
MAG
67%
19%
14%
|
18 | 15 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 ene. 2018 |
ALC
2 - 2
UDM
39%
24%
37%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 dic. 2017 |
UDM
2 - 0
PEN
53%
22%
25%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 dic. 2017 |
GRA
1 - 0
UDM
41%
24%
35%
|
19 | 17 | 2 | -1 |
| 26 nov. 2017 |
UDM
1 - 1
SAN
44%
24%
32%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | +1 |
Partidos
Mallén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 ene. 2018 |
CFV
1 - 0
MAL
46%
24%
30%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 dic. 2017 |
PEN
2 - 4
MAL
36%
25%
39%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 dic. 2017 |
MAL
2 - 0
SAN
78%
14%
8%
|
17 | 11 | 6 | +1 |
| 26 nov. 2017 |
BAR
4 - 1
MAL
47%
24%
29%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | -1 |
| 19 nov. 2017 |
MAL
1 - 0
GIN
57%
23%
21%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | 0 |