Análisis Montecarlo vs Mallén
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
43.1%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.76
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.3%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.3%
22.9%
Empate
0-0
3.7%
1-1
10%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
34%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.54
Goles esperados
0-1
5.7%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+31%
+73%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Montecarlo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 nov. 2024 |
ICF
2 - 0
UDM
68%
19%
13%
|
17 | 26 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 nov. 2024 |
UDM
1 - 2
PRA
27%
22%
51%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | -1 |
| 27 oct. 2024 |
CAR
0 - 0
UDM
36%
22%
42%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 oct. 2024 |
UDM
1 - 1
MOR
42%
24%
34%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 oct. 2024 |
ATL
4 - 0
UDM
31%
24%
45%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | -1 |
Partidos
Mallén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 nov. 2024 |
MAL
1 - 0
HER
33%
24%
43%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 nov. 2024 |
SPO
2 - 1
MAL
70%
16%
14%
|
17 | 21 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 oct. 2024 |
MAL
0 - 1
ATC
18%
21%
61%
|
18 | 25 | 7 | -1 |
| 20 oct. 2024 |
SDB
0 - 2
MAL
53%
24%
24%
|
17 | 21 | 4 | +1 |
| 13 oct. 2024 |
ICF
2 - 0
MAL
68%
19%
14%
|
17 | 26 | 9 | 0 |