Análisis Montecarlo vs Mores CD
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
42.4%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.62
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.8%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.7%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.9%
24%
Empate
0-0
4.8%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
33.5%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.41
Goles esperados
0-1
6.8%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.2%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-5%
-19%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Montecarlo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 oct. 2024 |
ATL
4 - 0
UDM
31%
24%
45%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 oct. 2024 |
UDM
0 - 0
CEL
64%
19%
17%
|
19 | 16 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 sep. 2024 |
ACF
4 - 2
UDM
69%
17%
14%
|
19 | 25 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 sep. 2024 |
UDM
3 - 2
TER
48%
22%
30%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 sep. 2024 |
ALC
2 - 2
UDM
43%
23%
34%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
Partidos
Mores CD
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 oct. 2024 |
MOR
6 - 0
HER
32%
24%
44%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 oct. 2024 |
SPO
1 - 1
MOR
78%
14%
9%
|
18 | 23 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 sep. 2024 |
MOR
1 - 2
ATC
18%
21%
61%
|
18 | 26 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 sep. 2024 |
MAL
1 - 1
MOR
40%
25%
35%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 sep. 2024 |
MOR
0 - 1
ICF
21%
23%
56%
|
19 | 26 | 7 | -1 |