Análisis Montecarlo vs Robres
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
47.5%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.69
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.4%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
24%
Empate
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
28.6%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.26
Goles esperados
0-1
6.6%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-25%
+19%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Montecarlo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 nov. 2013 |
UDB
1 - 0
UDM
61%
20%
19%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 nov. 2013 |
UDM
3 - 3
MAL
42%
25%
33%
|
19 | 21 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 oct. 2013 |
CDA
0 - 1
UDM
31%
24%
45%
|
19 | 16 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 oct. 2013 |
UDM
0 - 1
FRA
35%
24%
41%
|
20 | 23 | 3 | -1 |
| 06 oct. 2013 |
TAU
2 - 0
UDM
55%
22%
23%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
Partidos
Robres
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 nov. 2013 |
ROB
0 - 0
ADT
51%
23%
27%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 nov. 2013 |
BIN
0 - 0
ROB
36%
26%
38%
|
20 | 17 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 oct. 2013 |
UDB
1 - 0
ROB
57%
21%
22%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | -1 |
| 19 oct. 2013 |
ROB
2 - 0
MAL
43%
25%
32%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | +1 |
| 06 oct. 2013 |
CDA
0 - 1
ROB
37%
25%
38%
|
19 | 17 | 2 | +1 |