Análisis Montecarlo vs Teruel B
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
20.4%
Probabilidad de victoria
1
Goles esperados
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.2%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.2%
22.8%
Empate
0-0
5.9%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.8%
56.8%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.83
Goles esperados
0-1
10.8%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
9.9%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.5%
0-3
6%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.3%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.9%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+14%
+23%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Montecarlo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 mar. 2010 |
UDS
1 - 1
UDM
71%
18%
11%
|
13 | 20 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 mar. 2010 |
UDM
0 - 2
TAR
16%
21%
63%
|
13 | 28 | 15 | 0 |
| 28 feb. 2010 |
CFB
2 - 1
UDM
68%
18%
14%
|
14 | 17 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 feb. 2010 |
UDM
0 - 2
UNI
11%
18%
71%
|
15 | 42 | 27 | -1 |
| 14 feb. 2010 |
UDM
4 - 0
LAA
16%
22%
62%
|
12 | 22 | 10 | +3 |
Partidos
Teruel B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 mar. 2010 |
TER
2 - 1
LAA
48%
24%
28%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 mar. 2010 |
CAL
1 - 1
TER
33%
25%
42%
|
21 | 17 | 4 | -1 |
| 28 feb. 2010 |
TER
1 - 0
GAR
71%
18%
12%
|
20 | 13 | 7 | +1 |
| 21 feb. 2010 |
CDE
1 - 1
TER
70%
18%
12%
|
20 | 34 | 14 | 0 |
| 14 feb. 2010 |
TER
1 - 0
SAA
63%
20%
18%
|
20 | 15 | 5 | 0 |