Análisis Montecarlo vs UD San José
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
33.7%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.44
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.8%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.2%
23.9%
Empate
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
42.4%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.64
Goles esperados
0-1
7.6%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.7%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.7%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+31%
-11%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Montecarlo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 may. 2025 |
CDC
2 - 1
UDM
76%
15%
9%
|
20 | 33 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 may. 2025 |
UDM
1 - 2
SDB
43%
25%
32%
|
21 | 22 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 may. 2025 |
UDM
2 - 2
HER
47%
23%
30%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 abr. 2025 |
SPO
2 - 3
UDM
20%
20%
61%
|
20 | 13 | 7 | +1 |
| 13 abr. 2025 |
UDM
2 - 0
ATC
15%
20%
66%
|
18 | 29 | 11 | +2 |
Partidos
UD San José
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 may. 2025 |
UDS
1 - 1
HER
55%
23%
23%
|
23 | 19 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 may. 2025 |
SPO
1 - 3
UDS
16%
20%
64%
|
22 | 12 | 10 | +1 |
| 04 may. 2025 |
UDS
1 - 1
ATC
23%
23%
55%
|
22 | 29 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 abr. 2025 |
MAL
5 - 0
UDS
32%
25%
43%
|
24 | 21 | 3 | -2 |
| 13 abr. 2025 |
UDS
0 - 1
ICF
21%
23%
56%
|
24 | 33 | 9 | 0 |