Análisis Montecarlo vs Universidad de Zaragoza
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
11.1%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.72
Goles esperados
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.4%
1-0
4%
2-1
3.1%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
8.1%
18.3%
Empate
0-0
5.5%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.3%
70.7%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.17
Goles esperados
0-1
12%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
13%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.3%
0-3
9.4%
1-4
3.7%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13.8%
0-4
5.1%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
7%
0-5
2.2%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.9%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Montecarlo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 feb. 2010 |
UDM
4 - 0
LAA
16%
22%
62%
|
12 | 22 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 feb. 2010 |
CAL
3 - 1
UDM
69%
18%
13%
|
12 | 18 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 ene. 2010 |
UDM
0 - 0
GAR
43%
24%
33%
|
12 | 13 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 ene. 2010 |
CDE
3 - 0
UDM
77%
15%
8%
|
13 | 32 | 19 | -1 |
| 20 dic. 2009 |
OLI
3 - 2
UDM
75%
16%
10%
|
13 | 22 | 9 | 0 |
Partidos
Universidad de Zaragoza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 feb. 2010 |
UNI
3 - 0
UDC
79%
15%
6%
|
42 | 20 | 22 | 0 |
| 07 feb. 2010 |
LAA
2 - 2
UNI
10%
19%
71%
|
43 | 21 | 22 | -1 |
| 30 ene. 2010 |
UNI
1 - 2
ALF
76%
16%
8%
|
44 | 18 | 26 | -1 |
| 24 ene. 2010 |
CAL
1 - 4
UNI
14%
20%
66%
|
43 | 20 | 23 | +1 |
| 17 ene. 2010 |
ICF
0 - 2
UNI
11%
20%
69%
|
43 | 20 | 23 | 0 |