Análisis Montecarlo vs Valdefierro
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
29.7%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.24
Goles esperados
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.3%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.3%
24.6%
Empate
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
45.7%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.6
Goles esperados
0-1
9.3%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.2%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.8%
0-3
4%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.4%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+20%
+98%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Montecarlo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 sep. 2013 |
CFV
2 - 0
UDM
49%
23%
28%
|
19 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 sep. 2013 |
UDM
2 - 0
POM
63%
20%
18%
|
19 | 15 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 sep. 2013 |
GRA
3 - 3
UDM
30%
23%
47%
|
19 | 14 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 sep. 2013 |
UDM
1 - 1
SAN
45%
23%
32%
|
19 | 19 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 may. 2012 |
ALF
0 - 5
UDM
45%
24%
32%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | +1 |
Partidos
Valdefierro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 sep. 2013 |
CFV
0 - 1
ADT
62%
21%
18%
|
25 | 19 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 sep. 2013 |
ROB
0 - 1
CFV
35%
26%
39%
|
25 | 21 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 sep. 2013 |
MAL
1 - 0
CFV
35%
26%
40%
|
25 | 21 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 may. 2013 |
CFV
1 - 1
SAB
40%
26%
34%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | +1 |
| 05 may. 2013 |
ROB
1 - 2
CFV
36%
26%
39%
|
24 | 20 | 4 | 0 |