Análisis Monterrey vs Estudiantes de Mérida
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
73.2%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.34
Goles esperados
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.6%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.9%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
16.8%
Empate
0-0
4.6%
1-1
8%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.7%
10.1%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.74
Goles esperados
0-1
3.4%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.3%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+17%
+1%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Monterrey
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 mar. 1999 |
MON
1 - 2
NAC
60%
20%
19%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 mar. 1999 |
MON
1 - 1
BVS
67%
19%
14%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | -1 |
| 23 feb. 1999 |
EST
2 - 1
MON
23%
25%
52%
|
77 | 64 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 nov. 1998 |
MON
4 - 1
UNI
65%
19%
16%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 nov. 1998 |
MON
4 - 1
ULA
84%
12%
5%
|
77 | 59 | 18 | -1 |
Partidos
Estudiantes de Mérida
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 mar. 1999 |
EST
3 - 1
NAC
28%
27%
45%
|
66 | 78 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 mar. 1999 |
EST
2 - 1
BVS
38%
26%
36%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | +1 |
| 23 feb. 1999 |
EST
2 - 1
MON
23%
25%
52%
|
64 | 77 | 13 | +1 |
| 12 nov. 1998 |
MON
5 - 1
EST
75%
16%
9%
|
65 | 76 | 11 | -1 |
| 10 nov. 1998 |
NEC
2 - 0
EST
71%
18%
11%
|
65 | 74 | 9 | 0 |