Análisis Monterrey vs Estudiantes de Mérida
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
75%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.32
Goles esperados
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.7%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.3%
3-0
10.7%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.4%
2-0
13.8%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.2%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
16.3%
Empate
0-0
5.1%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
16.3%
8.7%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.65
Goles esperados
0-1
3.3%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.6%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+17%
-7%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Monterrey
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 oct. 1998 |
MON
1 - 0
NEC
56%
23%
21%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 oct. 1998 |
UNI
2 - 1
MON
49%
23%
28%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 oct. 1998 |
ULA
2 - 1
MON
17%
23%
60%
|
76 | 60 | 16 | 0 |
| 13 oct. 1998 |
EST
3 - 0
MON
21%
24%
54%
|
77 | 63 | 14 | -1 |
| 23 sep. 1998 |
NEC
2 - 2
MON
51%
22%
27%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
Partidos
Estudiantes de Mérida
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 nov. 1998 |
NEC
2 - 0
EST
71%
18%
11%
|
65 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 oct. 1998 |
ULA
0 - 2
EST
40%
26%
34%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | +1 |
| 13 oct. 1998 |
EST
3 - 0
MON
21%
24%
54%
|
63 | 77 | 14 | +1 |
| 29 sep. 1998 |
EST
0 - 0
NEC
26%
25%
49%
|
63 | 75 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 sep. 1998 |
EST
3 - 2
ULA
52%
24%
24%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | +1 |