Etapas Finales Clausura MX Cuartos
Global 4-4
Análisis Monterrey vs Toluca
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
46.5%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.73
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.9%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.1%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.6%
23.5%
Empate
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
30%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.35
Goles esperados
0-1
6.2%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.6%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+12%
+20%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Monterrey
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 may. 2025 |
MON
2 - 0
PUM
49%
24%
27%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 abr. 2025 |
MON
1 - 2
PAC
49%
23%
28%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 abr. 2025 |
LEO
0 - 2
MON
44%
25%
30%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | +1 |
| 17 abr. 2025 |
MON
1 - 0
AME
46%
25%
29%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 abr. 2025 |
TIG
2 - 1
MON
44%
26%
31%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
Partidos
Toluca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 abr. 2025 |
TOL
2 - 2
CAZ
57%
23%
21%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 abr. 2025 |
AUR
0 - 1
TOL
44%
24%
33%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 abr. 2025 |
ATS
2 - 3
TOL
33%
25%
41%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 abr. 2025 |
TOL
2 - 1
SAN
67%
18%
15%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 mar. 2025 |
TOL
3 - 2
PAC
52%
23%
25%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |