Análisis Monterrey vs ULA Mérida
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
83.5%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.68
Goles esperados
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.1%
+7
1%
6-0
2.2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.6%
5-0
4.8%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6%
4-0
9%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.7%
3-0
13.5%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
18.5%
2-0
15.1%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.9%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.5%
11.8%
Empate
0-0
4.2%
1-1
5.5%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
11.8%
4.6%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.49
Goles esperados
0-1
2.1%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
3.7%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Monterrey
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 nov. 1998 |
MON
4 - 1
UNI
65%
19%
16%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 nov. 1998 |
MON
5 - 1
EST
75%
16%
9%
|
76 | 65 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 oct. 1998 |
MON
1 - 0
NEC
56%
23%
21%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 oct. 1998 |
UNI
2 - 1
MON
49%
23%
28%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 oct. 1998 |
ULA
2 - 1
MON
17%
23%
60%
|
76 | 60 | 16 | 0 |
Partidos
ULA Mérida
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 nov. 1998 |
NEC
1 - 0
ULA
80%
14%
6%
|
60 | 75 | 15 | 0 |
| 28 oct. 1998 |
ULA
0 - 2
EST
40%
26%
34%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | -1 |
| 15 oct. 1998 |
ULA
2 - 1
MON
17%
23%
60%
|
60 | 76 | 16 | +1 |
| 01 oct. 1998 |
ULA
0 - 0
NEC
20%
24%
56%
|
59 | 74 | 15 | +1 |
| 16 sep. 1998 |
EST
3 - 2
ULA
52%
24%
24%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | -1 |