Análisis Moraleja vs Amanecer
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
38.5%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.46
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
6%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.4%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.2%
24.9%
Empate
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
36.6%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.42
Goles esperados
0-1
8%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+33%
-27%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Moraleja
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 nov. 2009 |
PLA
2 - 1
MOR
75%
15%
10%
|
19 | 28 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 nov. 2009 |
MOR
4 - 0
NAV
75%
15%
11%
|
19 | 13 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 nov. 2009 |
TAL
2 - 2
MOR
23%
21%
56%
|
19 | 13 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 nov. 2009 |
MOR
1 - 0
ORE
39%
23%
38%
|
18 | 22 | 4 | +1 |
| 25 oct. 2009 |
HER
3 - 0
MOR
28%
23%
50%
|
19 | 16 | 3 | -1 |
Partidos
Amanecer
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 nov. 2009 |
AMA
1 - 1
CHI
54%
24%
22%
|
23 | 19 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 nov. 2009 |
PLA
3 - 1
AMA
65%
20%
15%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | -1 |
| 08 nov. 2009 |
AMA
2 - 0
GIM
44%
26%
30%
|
23 | 22 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 nov. 2009 |
NAV
0 - 2
AMA
19%
23%
58%
|
23 | 13 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 oct. 2009 |
AMA
0 - 1
SAM
37%
27%
37%
|
24 | 25 | 1 | -1 |