Análisis Moraleja vs Gargáligas
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
46%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.78
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.9%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.9%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.2%
23%
Empate
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
31%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.43
Goles esperados
0-1
5.8%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Moraleja
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 feb. 2009 |
ORE
3 - 0
MOR
33%
23%
44%
|
14 | 12 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 feb. 2009 |
MOR
3 - 2
CAS
26%
25%
50%
|
13 | 20 | 7 | +1 |
| 08 feb. 2009 |
TAL
3 - 2
MOR
36%
23%
41%
|
13 | 12 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 feb. 2009 |
MOR
1 - 0
MAL
56%
21%
24%
|
13 | 13 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 ene. 2009 |
GIM
2 - 1
MOR
63%
20%
17%
|
13 | 19 | 6 | 0 |
Partidos
Gargáligas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 feb. 2009 |
GAR
2 - 0
SAM
36%
24%
40%
|
14 | 18 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 feb. 2009 |
TRU
2 - 0
GAR
71%
18%
12%
|
14 | 20 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 feb. 2009 |
GAR
2 - 1
ZUR
48%
23%
30%
|
14 | 14 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 feb. 2009 |
CAC
3 - 0
GAR
75%
16%
9%
|
14 | 25 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 ene. 2009 |
GAR
0 - 2
MON
26%
24%
50%
|
15 | 23 | 8 | -1 |