Análisis Moraleja vs Gargáligas
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
74.3%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.66
Goles esperados
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.6%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.3%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.6%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21%
15.1%
Empate
0-0
2.8%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
15.1%
10.6%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.92
Goles esperados
0-1
2.6%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
7.3%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Moraleja
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 oct. 2009 |
TOR
2 - 2
MOR
15%
19%
66%
|
27 | 15 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 oct. 2009 |
MOR
3 - 1
CPC
44%
23%
33%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | +1 |
| 27 sep. 2009 |
CAS
0 - 2
MOR
72%
16%
12%
|
24 | 33 | 9 | +2 |
| 20 sep. 2009 |
MOR
1 - 2
CHI
55%
21%
25%
|
25 | 26 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 sep. 2009 |
GIM
3 - 3
MOR
55%
22%
23%
|
25 | 31 | 6 | 0 |
Partidos
Gargáligas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 oct. 2009 |
GAR
0 - 4
PLA
23%
23%
54%
|
22 | 36 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 oct. 2009 |
NAV
0 - 0
GAR
31%
25%
44%
|
23 | 16 | 7 | -1 |
| 27 sep. 2009 |
GAR
4 - 2
TAL
55%
22%
23%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | +2 |
| 20 sep. 2009 |
ORE
2 - 1
GAR
70%
18%
12%
|
22 | 31 | 9 | -1 |
| 13 sep. 2009 |
GAR
1 - 1
HER
47%
23%
30%
|
22 | 24 | 2 | 0 |