Análisis Moraleja vs Gimnástico Don Benito
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
49%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.85
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.7%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.9%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.7%
22.6%
Empate
0-0
4%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
28.3%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.36
Goles esperados
0-1
5.5%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+16%
-15%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Moraleja
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 ene. 2010 |
SAM
1 - 1
MOR
66%
19%
15%
|
18 | 25 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 ene. 2010 |
MOR
2 - 1
OLY
74%
16%
11%
|
18 | 13 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 ene. 2010 |
MOR
2 - 1
TRU
55%
21%
24%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 ene. 2010 |
VAL
3 - 1
MOR
60%
21%
19%
|
18 | 24 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 dic. 2009 |
MOR
1 - 1
MAL
79%
13%
8%
|
18 | 12 | 6 | 0 |
Partidos
Gimnástico Don Benito
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 ene. 2010 |
GIM
0 - 1
PLA
24%
24%
53%
|
21 | 31 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 ene. 2010 |
NAV
2 - 2
GIM
21%
24%
55%
|
21 | 13 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 ene. 2010 |
TAL
2 - 2
GIM
26%
24%
50%
|
21 | 13 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 ene. 2010 |
GIM
3 - 0
ORE
45%
25%
31%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | +1 |
| 20 dic. 2009 |
HER
2 - 1
GIM
40%
25%
35%
|
21 | 19 | 2 | -1 |