Análisis Moraleja vs Trujillo
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
55.2%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.08
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.6%
1-0
7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22%
21%
Empate
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21%
23.8%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.31
Goles esperados
0-1
4.4%
1-2
6%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.9%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+16%
-52%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Moraleja
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 ene. 2010 |
VAL
3 - 1
MOR
60%
21%
19%
|
18 | 24 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 dic. 2009 |
MOR
1 - 1
MAL
79%
13%
8%
|
18 | 12 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 dic. 2009 |
CAC
1 - 0
MOR
55%
22%
23%
|
19 | 23 | 4 | -1 |
| 05 dic. 2009 |
MOR
0 - 2
SAG
58%
20%
22%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | -1 |
| 29 nov. 2009 |
MOR
1 - 0
AMA
39%
25%
37%
|
19 | 23 | 4 | +1 |
Partidos
Trujillo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 ene. 2010 |
TRU
0 - 2
PLA
23%
23%
54%
|
18 | 30 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 dic. 2009 |
NAV
3 - 2
TRU
25%
24%
51%
|
19 | 14 | 5 | -1 |
| 13 dic. 2009 |
TRU
5 - 2
TAL
67%
19%
15%
|
18 | 14 | 4 | +1 |
| 05 dic. 2009 |
ORE
0 - 1
TRU
60%
21%
19%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 nov. 2009 |
TRU
2 - 1
HER
42%
24%
34%
|
17 | 19 | 2 | +1 |