Análisis Moraleja vs Trujillo
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
23.7%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.17
Goles esperados
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.1%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.4%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.4%
22.6%
Empate
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
53.6%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.86
Goles esperados
0-1
9%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.1%
0-2
8.4%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.4%
0-3
5.2%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.7%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.7%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+16%
-56%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Moraleja
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 abr. 2011 |
CNV
2 - 1
MOR
55%
22%
23%
|
13 | 16 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 abr. 2011 |
MOR
1 - 1
GUA
69%
17%
14%
|
13 | 10 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 abr. 2011 |
MON
3 - 0
MOR
67%
19%
14%
|
14 | 19 | 5 | -1 |
| 26 mar. 2011 |
MOR
4 - 0
GIM
46%
23%
32%
|
12 | 14 | 2 | +2 |
| 20 mar. 2011 |
ACD
1 - 0
MOR
30%
23%
46%
|
13 | 11 | 2 | -1 |
Partidos
Trujillo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 abr. 2011 |
TRU
3 - 2
CDC
59%
21%
20%
|
17 | 16 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 abr. 2011 |
SRE
2 - 1
TRU
69%
17%
13%
|
18 | 24 | 6 | -1 |
| 03 abr. 2011 |
TRU
3 - 0
ADC
77%
14%
9%
|
17 | 11 | 6 | +1 |
| 27 mar. 2011 |
CPC
0 - 2
TRU
73%
16%
11%
|
16 | 24 | 8 | +1 |
| 20 mar. 2011 |
TRU
4 - 0
AMA
42%
25%
34%
|
14 | 16 | 2 | +2 |