Análisis Moralo vs UD Fornacense
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
90.8%
Probabilidad de victoria
3.05
Goles esperados
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.7%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.7%
8-1
0.2%
+7
1.9%
6-0
4%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
<0%
+6
4.5%
5-0
7.8%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
9%
4-0
12.9%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.2%
+4
15.2%
3-0
16.9%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
20.8%
2-0
16.6%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
21.9%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
<0%
+1
16.3%
7.4%
Empate
0-0
3.6%
1-1
3.1%
2-2
0.7%
3-3
0.1%
0
7.4%
1.7%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.28
Goles esperados
0-1
1%
1-2
0.4%
2-3
0.1%
-1
1.5%
0-2
0.1%
1-3
0%
-2
0.2%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+11%
+209%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Moralo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 ene. 1996 |
JER
1 - 0
MOR
64%
20%
16%
|
34 | 41 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 ene. 1996 |
CPC
2 - 4
MOR
72%
17%
11%
|
33 | 39 | 6 | +1 |
| 14 ene. 1996 |
MOR
3 - 0
SAM
87%
10%
3%
|
33 | 17 | 16 | 0 |
| 07 ene. 1996 |
MOR
1 - 0
COR
84%
11%
5%
|
32 | 19 | 13 | +1 |
| 17 dic. 1995 |
SNV
0 - 1
MOR
8%
20%
73%
|
32 | 15 | 17 | 0 |
Partidos
UD Fornacense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 ene. 1996 |
UDF
0 - 1
SAM
23%
26%
51%
|
12 | 19 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 ene. 1996 |
COR
1 - 0
UDF
81%
13%
6%
|
13 | 18 | 5 | -1 |
| 14 ene. 1996 |
UDF
1 - 2
SNV
53%
23%
24%
|
13 | 14 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 ene. 1996 |
UDF
2 - 0
AZU
51%
24%
26%
|
12 | 13 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 dic. 1995 |
BAD
3 - 0
UDF
78%
16%
7%
|
12 | 29 | 17 | 0 |