Análisis Moratalla vs Lucena
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
23.1%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.93
Goles esperados
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.8%
1-0
8%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.2%
25.8%
Empate
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
51.1%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.53
Goles esperados
0-1
13%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
10%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.6%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.1%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Moratalla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 oct. 2009 |
ECI
1 - 0
MOR
69%
20%
11%
|
37 | 56 | 19 | 0 |
| 04 oct. 2009 |
MOR
1 - 1
SRQ
22%
26%
52%
|
37 | 50 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 sep. 2009 |
SEV
0 - 0
MOR
74%
17%
9%
|
36 | 58 | 22 | +1 |
| 23 sep. 2009 |
MOR
0 - 0
EST
24%
25%
52%
|
36 | 47 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 sep. 2009 |
RJA
1 - 1
MOR
61%
25%
14%
|
35 | 63 | 28 | +1 |
Partidos
Lucena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 oct. 2009 |
LUC
1 - 1
IMP
41%
26%
33%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 oct. 2009 |
ROQ
2 - 1
LUC
54%
24%
22%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 sep. 2009 |
LUC
1 - 2
POL
17%
26%
57%
|
51 | 70 | 19 | -1 |
| 23 sep. 2009 |
GRA
1 - 0
LUC
58%
23%
19%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 sep. 2009 |
LUC
0 - 0
BET
50%
25%
26%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | 0 |