Análisis Moreirense vs Nacional
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
58.2%
Probabilidad gana
1.78
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
23.1%
Empate
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.1%
18.7%
Probabilidad gana
0.9
Goles esperados
0-1
6.2%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-4%
+10%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Moreirense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 abr. 2021 |
VIT
2 - 0
MOR
50%
26%
24%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 abr. 2021 |
MOR
1 - 1
FCP
13%
20%
66%
|
71 | 88 | 17 | 0 |
| 21 abr. 2021 |
SAN
0 - 0
MOR
47%
27%
27%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 abr. 2021 |
MOR
2 - 3
TON
60%
23%
17%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 abr. 2021 |
GFC
1 - 2
MOR
34%
28%
38%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
Partidos
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 may. 2021 |
SCP
2 - 0
NAC
74%
18%
9%
|
61 | 85 | 24 | 0 |
| 26 abr. 2021 |
NAC
1 - 0
VIT
24%
26%
50%
|
60 | 74 | 14 | +1 |
| 22 abr. 2021 |
TON
2 - 1
NAC
46%
25%
29%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 abr. 2021 |
NAC
0 - 1
FCP
8%
17%
75%
|
61 | 88 | 27 | 0 |
| 11 abr. 2021 |
SAN
5 - 1
NAC
58%
24%
18%
|
62 | 72 | 10 | -1 |