Análisis Moreirense vs Penafiel
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
58.3%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.75
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
23.3%
Empate
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
18.4%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.87
Goles esperados
0-1
6.3%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-4%
-25%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Moreirense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 nov. 2004 |
BEL
3 - 0
MOR
52%
25%
23%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 nov. 2004 |
MOR
1 - 2
EST
53%
24%
23%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | -1 |
| 31 oct. 2004 |
UDL
0 - 0
MOR
63%
22%
15%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 oct. 2004 |
MOR
0 - 0
RIO
46%
27%
27%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 oct. 2004 |
MAR
1 - 0
MOR
54%
26%
21%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
Partidos
Penafiel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 nov. 2004 |
PEN
2 - 1
BMA
42%
26%
32%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 nov. 2004 |
BOA
2 - 1
PEN
64%
24%
12%
|
63 | 80 | 17 | 0 |
| 30 oct. 2004 |
PEN
0 - 3
SCP
15%
21%
64%
|
64 | 85 | 21 | -1 |
| 24 oct. 2004 |
FCP
2 - 0
PEN
77%
16%
7%
|
64 | 88 | 24 | 0 |
| 17 oct. 2004 |
BEL
4 - 1
PEN
59%
23%
18%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | -1 |