Análisis CA Morelia vs Cimarrones de Sonora
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
73.4%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.24
Goles esperados
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.7%
3-0
10.3%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.7%
2-0
13.8%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
17.2%
Empate
0-0
5.5%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
17.2%
9.4%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.66
Goles esperados
0-1
3.6%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.1%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+11%
-7%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
CA Morelia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 ago. 2021 |
MOR
2 - 1
UAT
78%
15%
7%
|
77 | 64 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 ago. 2021 |
CDT
0 - 3
MOR
16%
26%
58%
|
77 | 62 | 15 | 0 |
| 11 ago. 2021 |
MOR
2 - 1
TOR
66%
20%
14%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | +1 |
| 04 ago. 2021 |
DOR
3 - 1
MOR
19%
24%
57%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | -1 |
| 29 jul. 2021 |
MOR
2 - 2
ZAC
59%
21%
20%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
Partidos
Cimarrones de Sonora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 sep. 2021 |
MER
2 - 0
CIM
35%
27%
38%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 ago. 2021 |
DOR
4 - 1
CIM
42%
27%
31%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 ago. 2021 |
CIM
2 - 0
ATL
37%
27%
36%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | +1 |
| 04 ago. 2021 |
ALE
0 - 1
CIM
40%
27%
33%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 jul. 2021 |
CIM
0 - 0
CDT
52%
26%
21%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | 0 |