Análisis CA Morelia vs Necaxa
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
60.9%
Probabilidad de victoria
2
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.8%
2-0
10%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.6%
1-0
10%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.9%
21.1%
Empate
0-0
5%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.1%
18%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.99
Goles esperados
0-1
5%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+7%
+8%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
CA Morelia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 ene. 2016 |
MOR
2 - 0
CHI
47%
27%
27%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 ene. 2016 |
MOR
4 - 5
ZAC
66%
19%
15%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | -1 |
| 24 ene. 2016 |
MOR
1 - 1
TOL
34%
27%
40%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | +1 |
| 20 ene. 2016 |
ZAC
1 - 1
MOR
26%
23%
51%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 ene. 2016 |
TIG
2 - 0
MOR
59%
23%
18%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | -1 |
Partidos
Necaxa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 ene. 2016 |
AUR
0 - 1
NEC
47%
26%
28%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 ene. 2016 |
NEC
4 - 1
LEO
18%
21%
61%
|
66 | 83 | 17 | +2 |
| 24 ene. 2016 |
NEC
1 - 0
JUA
39%
29%
32%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 ene. 2016 |
LEO
5 - 0
NEC
75%
16%
9%
|
66 | 82 | 16 | 0 |
| 16 ene. 2016 |
MER
0 - 0
NEC
45%
25%
31%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | -1 |