Análisis CA Morelia vs Toluca
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
47.3%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.62
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.3%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
24.6%
Empate
0-0
6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
28.1%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.19
Goles esperados
0-1
7.2%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+18%
+22%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
CA Morelia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 sep. 2003 |
PUE
4 - 2
MOR
28%
27%
45%
|
83 | 71 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 sep. 2003 |
MOR
3 - 3
NEC
53%
24%
23%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 ago. 2003 |
CHI
0 - 1
MOR
42%
24%
34%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 ago. 2003 |
MOR
1 - 2
TOL
46%
25%
29%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 ago. 2003 |
TIG
2 - 0
MOR
46%
24%
30%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
Partidos
Toluca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 sep. 2003 |
IRA
2 - 1
TOL
23%
26%
51%
|
84 | 70 | 14 | 0 |
| 30 ago. 2003 |
TOL
2 - 0
QRO
81%
13%
7%
|
84 | 70 | 14 | 0 |
| 23 ago. 2003 |
MOR
1 - 2
TOL
46%
25%
29%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 ago. 2003 |
TOL
1 - 1
PAC
78%
13%
9%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 ago. 2003 |
JAG
0 - 1
TOL
22%
26%
51%
|
84 | 72 | 12 | 0 |