Análisis CA Morelia vs Toluca
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
42.7%
Probabilidad gana
1.36
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.6%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
27%
Empate
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
30.3%
Probabilidad gana
1.1
Goles esperados
0-1
9.4%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.4%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+8%
+17%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
CA Morelia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 sep. 2010 |
ATL
2 - 0
MOR
42%
27%
32%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 sep. 2010 |
MOR
0 - 2
AME
50%
25%
25%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 ago. 2010 |
EST
1 - 1
MOR
49%
24%
27%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 ago. 2010 |
MOR
1 - 0
NEC
56%
24%
20%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 ago. 2010 |
SNL
1 - 0
MOR
34%
28%
38%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
Partidos
Toluca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 sep. 2010 |
OLI
2 - 1
TOL
28%
28%
44%
|
84 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 sep. 2010 |
TOL
2 - 1
AME
55%
24%
21%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 sep. 2010 |
TOL
3 - 0
PRI
74%
17%
9%
|
84 | 68 | 16 | 0 |
| 11 sep. 2010 |
NEC
1 - 1
TOL
38%
28%
35%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 ago. 2010 |
TOL
2 - 0
QRO
70%
20%
10%
|
84 | 69 | 15 | 0 |