Análisis Mortágua vs Naval
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
14.8%
Probabilidad gana
0.94
Goles esperados
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.6%
1-0
4%
2-1
4.2%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
10%
19%
Empate
0-0
4.3%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19%
66.1%
Probabilidad gana
2.21
Goles esperados
0-1
9.4%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.4%
0-2
10.4%
1-3
7.2%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
19.9%
0-3
7.7%
1-4
4%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.6%
0-4
4.2%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
6.4%
0-5
1.9%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.6%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Mortágua
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 ene. 2015 |
BEN
2 - 0
MOR
81%
13%
6%
|
21 | 49 | 28 | 0 |
| 28 dic. 2014 |
TOU
1 - 2
MOR
70%
19%
12%
|
21 | 37 | 16 | 0 |
| 21 dic. 2014 |
MOR
0 - 1
POM
22%
22%
56%
|
21 | 36 | 15 | 0 |
| 14 dic. 2014 |
ADN
1 - 0
MOR
75%
16%
10%
|
22 | 36 | 14 | -1 |
| 07 dic. 2014 |
MOR
2 - 3
VIT
22%
22%
56%
|
22 | 36 | 14 | 0 |
Partidos
Naval
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 ene. 2015 |
NAV
2 - 0
POM
61%
22%
17%
|
42 | 36 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 dic. 2014 |
ADN
4 - 0
NAV
30%
25%
45%
|
44 | 37 | 7 | -2 |
| 20 dic. 2014 |
NAV
1 - 0
VIT
58%
23%
19%
|
44 | 38 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 dic. 2014 |
PAM
5 - 0
NAV
26%
24%
50%
|
46 | 35 | 11 | -2 |
| 07 dic. 2014 |
NAV
2 - 0
SOU
59%
23%
18%
|
46 | 41 | 5 | 0 |