Análisis Moss vs Lillestrom II
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
79.6%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.89
Goles esperados
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.8%
5-0
4.1%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
6%
4-0
7.1%
5-1
3.4%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11.2%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.3%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.5%
12.7%
Empate
0-0
2.4%
1-1
5.8%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
12.7%
7.7%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.82
Goles esperados
0-1
2%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
5.5%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-16%
+8%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Moss
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 may. 2015 |
NYB
1 - 2
MOS
24%
23%
53%
|
51 | 39 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 may. 2015 |
MOS
3 - 1
ALT
48%
23%
29%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 may. 2015 |
NOT
2 - 3
MOS
55%
22%
24%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | +1 |
| 26 abr. 2015 |
MOS
0 - 2
RAU
61%
20%
20%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | -1 |
| 22 abr. 2015 |
MOS
1 - 2
GRO
66%
18%
16%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | -1 |
Partidos
Lillestrom II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 may. 2015 |
LIL
0 - 2
ORN
40%
21%
39%
|
35 | 41 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 may. 2015 |
NYB
2 - 2
LIL
57%
20%
23%
|
35 | 39 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 may. 2015 |
LIL
0 - 0
LOR
73%
15%
12%
|
35 | 31 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 abr. 2015 |
ALT
7 - 1
LIL
74%
15%
10%
|
36 | 51 | 15 | -1 |
| 20 abr. 2015 |
LIL
3 - 4
DRA
78%
13%
9%
|
37 | 29 | 8 | -1 |