Oberliga NRW Jor. 18

Análisis MSV Duisburg II vs Fortuna Köln

MSV Duisburg II Fortuna Köln
37 ELO 48
27.1% Tilt 25.4%
19681º Ranking ELO general 2418º
703º Ranking ELO país 94º
Probabilidad ELO de victoria
35.2%
MSV Duisburg II
23.3%
Empate
41.5%
Fortuna Köln

Resultados posibles

Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probability of handicap
35.2%
Win probability
MSV Duisburg II
1.54
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.4%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.3%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.3%
23.3%
Empate
0-0
4%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
41.5%
Win probability
Fortuna Köln
1.68
Goles esperados
0-1
6.7%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.1%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
12.4%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

Gráfica ELO/Inclinación

← Defensivo Tilt Ofensivo →

Progresión del ELO

MSV Duisburg II
Fortuna Köln
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO

Partidos

MSV Duisburg II
MSV Duisburg II
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
21 nov. 2009
MSV
MSV Duisburg II
1 - 0
Sprockhövel
SPR
87%
9%
4%
38 20 18 0
15 nov. 2009
MSV
MSV Duisburg II
3 - 0
Siegen Sportfreunde
SPO
59%
21%
21%
37 36 1 +1
08 nov. 2009
ABI
Arminia Bielefeld II
4 - 0
MSV Duisburg II
MSV
46%
23%
31%
38 40 2 -1
31 oct. 2009
MSV
MSV Duisburg II
2 - 0
Hüls
HUL
60%
20%
21%
37 35 2 +1
25 oct. 2009
SWE
Schwarz-Weiss Essen
1 - 0
MSV Duisburg II
MSV
47%
24%
30%
38 42 4 -1

Partidos

Fortuna Köln
Fortuna Köln
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
20 nov. 2009
WAT
Wattenscheid 09
2 - 0
Fortuna Köln
KÖL
23%
22%
55%
50 30 20 0
15 nov. 2009
ABI
Arminia Bielefeld II
1 - 1
Fortuna Köln
KÖL
29%
24%
47%
50 41 9 0
07 nov. 2009
KÖL
Fortuna Köln
2 - 0
Schwarz-Weiss Essen
SWE
65%
20%
15%
50 41 9 0
31 oct. 2009
ESS
Rot-Weiss Essen II
1 - 1
Fortuna Köln
KÖL
23%
23%
54%
50 37 13 0
23 oct. 2009
KÖL
Fortuna Köln
3 - 1
Kleve
KLE
74%
17%
10%
50 34 16 0