Análisis MSV Duisburg vs Paderborn
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
58.9%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.83
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.2%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
22.6%
Empate
0-0
6.4%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.6%
18.5%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.92
Goles esperados
0-1
5.9%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+30%
+1%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
MSV Duisburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 sep. 2011 |
BOC
2 - 1
MSV
48%
25%
27%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 sep. 2011 |
MSV
1 - 1
FCU
66%
20%
14%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 sep. 2011 |
SGF
2 - 1
MSV
51%
25%
24%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | -1 |
| 26 ago. 2011 |
MSV
3 - 0
SGD
66%
21%
13%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | +1 |
| 22 ago. 2011 |
STP
2 - 1
MSV
51%
25%
25%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | -1 |
Partidos
Paderborn
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 sep. 2011 |
PAD
4 - 1
ING
46%
26%
28%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 sep. 2011 |
BOC
0 - 4
PAD
62%
22%
17%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | +1 |
| 09 sep. 2011 |
PAD
0 - 0
AAA
42%
26%
32%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 ago. 2011 |
EIN
0 - 0
PAD
71%
19%
11%
|
66 | 80 | 14 | +1 |
| 21 ago. 2011 |
SGD
1 - 2
PAD
50%
25%
25%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |