Análisis Murciélagos vs Celaya
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
23.9%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.93
Goles esperados
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.7%
26.5%
Empate
0-0
9.1%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
49.6%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.47
Goles esperados
0-1
13.4%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
9.8%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.1%
0-3
4.8%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.7%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Murciélagos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 sep. 2016 |
MER
3 - 1
MUR
59%
22%
19%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 sep. 2016 |
MUR
3 - 1
ATL
23%
26%
51%
|
57 | 70 | 13 | +1 |
| 14 sep. 2016 |
MOR
4 - 0
MUR
80%
14%
6%
|
58 | 79 | 21 | -1 |
| 11 sep. 2016 |
CAÑ
2 - 0
MUR
62%
21%
17%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 sep. 2016 |
MUR
2 - 0
UAT
29%
27%
44%
|
57 | 66 | 9 | +1 |
Partidos
Celaya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 sep. 2016 |
TOR
2 - 1
UDG
49%
26%
25%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 sep. 2016 |
CAF
3 - 2
TOR
34%
28%
38%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | -1 |
| 14 sep. 2016 |
ATL
2 - 2
TOR
45%
25%
30%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 sep. 2016 |
TOR
5 - 1
ZAC
38%
27%
36%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 sep. 2016 |
TOR
0 - 0
DOR
44%
27%
30%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |