Análisis Murense vs CSD Independiente
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
57.5%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.96
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.8%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.5%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
21.8%
Empate
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.8%
20.8%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.09
Goles esperados
0-1
5.2%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Murense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 mar. 2011 |
CAR
0 - 3
MUR
46%
25%
30%
|
19 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 mar. 2011 |
MUR
1 - 1
POL
56%
22%
22%
|
19 | 17 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 mar. 2011 |
CDE
0 - 0
MUR
46%
23%
31%
|
19 | 19 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 mar. 2011 |
CAL
2 - 2
MUR
16%
20%
65%
|
19 | 11 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 feb. 2011 |
MUR
2 - 1
ESP
49%
24%
27%
|
19 | 19 | 0 | 0 |
Partidos
CSD Independiente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 mar. 2011 |
CSD
4 - 2
ESP
47%
24%
29%
|
16 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 mar. 2011 |
ALA
1 - 0
CSD
58%
22%
20%
|
17 | 21 | 4 | -1 |
| 13 mar. 2011 |
CSD
2 - 1
ART
60%
21%
19%
|
16 | 14 | 2 | +1 |
| 06 mar. 2011 |
CES
1 - 1
CSD
23%
22%
55%
|
16 | 11 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 feb. 2011 |
CSD
0 - 4
SPO
46%
24%
30%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | -2 |