Análisis Muro vs Pego
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
83.1%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.9
Goles esperados
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.2%
6-0
2.4%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.1%
5-0
5%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.7%
4-0
8.6%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.2%
3-0
11.8%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.4%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.8%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.1%
11.4%
Empate
0-0
2.9%
1-1
5.4%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
11.4%
5.5%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.64
Goles esperados
0-1
1.9%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.2%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+87%
-21%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Muro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 may. 2025 |
FON
0 - 1
MUR
23%
23%
54%
|
31 | 23 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 may. 2025 |
MUR
2 - 0
MAS
67%
18%
16%
|
31 | 23 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 abr. 2025 |
LLX
0 - 3
MUR
30%
24%
46%
|
29 | 24 | 5 | +2 |
| 26 abr. 2025 |
MUR
3 - 1
POR
77%
15%
9%
|
29 | 19 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 abr. 2025 |
ALG
0 - 3
MUR
43%
23%
34%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | +1 |
Partidos
Pego
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 may. 2025 |
PEG
0 - 2
RAC
23%
23%
54%
|
18 | 24 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 may. 2025 |
CAN
2 - 2
PEG
19%
22%
60%
|
18 | 12 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 may. 2025 |
UEM
3 - 0
PEG
60%
19%
21%
|
19 | 19 | 0 | -1 |
| 27 abr. 2025 |
PEG
1 - 0
FON
25%
23%
52%
|
18 | 23 | 5 | +1 |
| 13 abr. 2025 |
MAS
1 - 0
PEG
60%
21%
19%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | 0 |