Análisis NAC Breda vs Ajax
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
35.3%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.57
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.5%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.4%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.2%
23%
Empate
0-0
3.7%
1-1
10%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
41.7%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.73
Goles esperados
0-1
6.4%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
19.9%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
12.5%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-14%
+6%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
NAC Breda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 sep. 1964 |
TEL
1 - 1
NAC
35%
24%
41%
|
77 | 65 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 sep. 1964 |
NAC
2 - 2
SIT
61%
20%
19%
|
77 | 65 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 sep. 1964 |
HER
4 - 2
NAC
44%
23%
33%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 ago. 1964 |
VVD
1 - 1
NAC
45%
23%
33%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 ago. 1964 |
NAC
1 - 2
SPA
59%
22%
19%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | -1 |
Partidos
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 sep. 1964 |
AJA
1 - 3
SPA
69%
18%
14%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 sep. 1964 |
MVV
2 - 2
AJA
25%
22%
53%
|
82 | 71 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 sep. 1964 |
AJA
0 - 3
DWS
67%
18%
15%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 ago. 1964 |
ADO
2 - 1
AJA
30%
22%
48%
|
83 | 72 | 11 | -1 |
| 23 ago. 1964 |
AJA
4 - 1
GAE
81%
12%
8%
|
83 | 70 | 13 | 0 |